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Trump leads Biden by 8 points in Florida in new Florida Atlantic University survey


Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump continues to hold a strong lead over President Joe Biden in a new survey of Florida registered voters.

The poll of 865 adults from the Florida Atlantic University Political Communication and Public Opinion Research Lab and Mainstreet Research released on Thursday shows Trump with 50% support, while 42% support Biden. Another 5% prefer other candidates, while 3% remain undecided.

When independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is included in the mix, Trump’s lead goes to 10 points, with the former president at 48% support, Biden 38%, and Kennedy Jr. with 7%.

In the U.S. Senate contest, which will likely have GOP incumbent Rick Scott facing off against former Democratic U.S. Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, Scott has a 16-point lead, 51%-35%. That’s more than twice the margin of an Emerson College Poll released last week, which showed Scott up by 7 percentage points.

The data reflect responses from all voters surveyed.

The poll shows that while Democrats are pushing abortion rights as a leading issue in this election year in Florida, it is not the top issue among all voters. That would be immigration at 25%, followed by the economy (22%) and the cost of living (15%). Abortion is the fourth leading issue at 13%.

Republicans prioritize immigration at 40% while Democrats are more focused on abortion at 25%.

“Partisan differences on immigration and abortion reflect campaign priorities not only of their presidential nominees, but for Republican state officials in Florida as well,” said Aaron Veenstra, associate professor of journalism at FAU, in a statement accompanying the poll results.

The survey shows both high-profile constitutional issues that will be on the ballot this fall are far short of the 60% threshold they need to win approval in November.

Amendment 3, which would legalize recreational cannabis, gets 47% support, while 35% oppose it and 18% say they don’t know.

On Amendment 4, the abortion rights measure, 49% say they support the measure, 19% oppose, but 32% say they don’t know. Similar polls taken in recent weeks also show nearly a third of voters have not decided how they’ll vote.

The survey includes a question about the 2026 gubernatorial race, but only for two candidates: Panhandle Congressman Matt Gaetz and First Lady Casey DeSantis. DeSantis leads Gaetz, 38%-16%, but 20% say they would prefer another candidate and 26% say they don’t know.

The poll was conducted from April 15 to 17 among 865 adults 18 or older living in Florida. The margin of error is +/-3.3%.

Florida Phoenix is part of States Newsroom, a nonprofit news network supported by grants and a coalition of donors as a 501c(3) public charity. Florida Phoenix maintains editorial independence. Contact Editor Diane Rado for questions: info@floridaphoenix.com. Follow Florida Phoenix on Facebook and Twitter.


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  • Charles

    I've asked the 865 people living in Florida and all of them (100%) want clean water – let's get a Florida Right To Clean Water on the 2026 ballot so the voters may establish that they have that right (and so corrupt politicians and polluters can take their investments elsewhere). More than one hundred thousand voters signed petitions in the first leg of the effort, more than one hundred thousand. Only The Bradenton Times and The Sarasota News Leader had the courage to write about the proposed nonpartisan amendment to the state constitution. Imagine how many voters would have signed the petition if their media had made them aware of the proposal. Instead they spend their time asking 865 of us about how well the most famous contemporary con artist is doing in efforts to get back into office so polluters can make even more money by poisoning us... sign the petition to get the question on the 2026 ballot if you want clean water —

    Sunday, April 21 Report this